Popular approval of the job Congress is doing has fallen to 16% in recent surveys, with three out of four voters saying they are not happy. In fact, only a third of respondents say their own representative deserves to be reelected. Against that backdrop, Republicans in particular have to be worried about what the prospect of defense sequestration means for their party’s performance in next year’s midterm elections. Big military bases and weapons plants are heavily concentrated in “red” states, and are poised to lose tens of thousands of jobs if sequestration unfolds as currently legislated. Voters in the affected districts are already unhappy about how things are going in Washington, but when things go bad close to home, it just might change the way they vote. I have written a commentary for Forbes here.
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