April was an unusually active month for foreign missile tests, with India, Pakistan and North Korea all launching their latest, longest-range ballistic missiles. The Indian and Pakistani missiles worked fine, the North Korean one did not. North Korea has now failed three times in a row to demonstrate that its longest-range ballistic missile is a viable weapon. Coupled with its very modest track record in testing nuclear weapons, the North Korean launch failure suggests that Pyongyang will not be posing a strategic threat to the U.S. homeland for some time to come. The same is true of Iran, which like Pakistan has obtained much of its missile technology from the North Korean regime. The main threat that Iranian and North Korean ballistic missiles currently pose is to their neighbors — although it is not clear either nation will have a nuclear warhead sufficiently compact to deliver on a missile anytime in this decade. I have written a commentary for Forbes.com that you can read here.
Find Archived Articles: