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Early Warning Blog

Since the release of the new defense strategy, much has been made of the shift to the Asia-Pacific region, its abandonment of the so-called two Major Theater Wars (MTWs) construct and the force structure. . . Read more

Date: 2/3/2012

Washington insiders watch cable television every day, see a strong personality like President Barack Obama, and just assume things will stay the same and he will be re-elected. But the polls tell a different. . . Read more

Date: 2/3/2012

This year is shaping up to be the fourth in a row when defense stocks will perform better than anyone would have expected, given news of receding threats and another trillion-dollar federal budget deficit.. . . Read more

Date: 2/2/2012

Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta stunned everyone with his candid comment yesterday that the Administration was looking to dial down its role in Afghanistan to that of train and assist by 2013. However,. . . Read more

Date: 2/2/2012

Just when it looked like the rest of the world was beginning to wise up to China's subsidies-driven trade strategy, the Club for Growth has appeared on the scene with a recipe for keeping Beijing's mercantilist. . . Read more

Date: 2/1/2012

The authoritative and independent Congressional Budget Office has made it official: federal workers really are much more expensive than their civilian counterparts. In a report released on Monday, the. . . Read more

Date: 2/1/2012

The defense department's proposal to drastically reduce the rate at which F-35 Joint Strike Fighters will be built over the next five years may set a new land speed record for federal bureaucrats. Who. . . Read more

Date: 1/31/2012

Today the U.S. Army will lose one of its finest general officers. The Vice Chief of Staff, General Peter Chiarelli, is retiring after some forty years in uniform. The Vice Chief is the Army’s chief of. . . Read more

Date: 1/31/2012

Like my colleague Dan Goure, I believe that the military cuts proposed last week by Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta are a reasonable reconciliation of competing security and budgetary objectives. I'm. . . Read more

Date: 1/30/2012

No sooner had Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta presented the details of the budget priorities and choices that accompanied the new defense strategy, than critics began to pick his presentation apart.. . . Read more

Date: 1/27/2012

The Obama Administration's blueprint for retooling the nation's defense posture was unveiled yesterday, and senior Pentagon officials say that any tinkering with the particulars could throw the whole. . . Read more

Date: 1/27/2012

At the time Leon Panetta was nominated to replace the extremely powerful and public Robert Gates as the 23rd Secretary of Defense, there were many observers who worried about the fate of the Department. . . Read more

Date: 1/26/2012

In a move that seems to contradict the Obama Administration's recently announced Asia-Pacific strategy, the Pentagon has decided to mothball its longest-range surveillance drones and rely instead on shorter-range. . . Read more

Date: 1/24/2012

In the opinion of many defense analysts, the Pentagon's new defense strategy severely disadvantages the U.S. Army. The strategy both rejects the idea of future protracted, large-scale stability operations. . . Read more

Date: 1/24/2012

With America's military posture and strategic focus pivoting to the Western Pacific, it's a good time to ask how vulnerable the centerpiece of our naval force structure is to attacks by China. The. . . Read more

Date: 1/23/2012

Retired Lockheed Martin Senior Vice President Robert H. Trice was so incensed by the errors he saw in recent accounts of the global arms trade that he wrote this rebuttal, describing the real situation. . . . Read more

Date: 1/23/2012

The new U.S. defense strategy requires the Department of Defense to address in a serious way the anti-access/area denial (AA/AD) threats that have emerged in East Asia and the Persian Gulf regions.. . . Read more

Date: 1/23/2012

The current debate over the timing of the U.S. withdrawal of forces from Iraq is misplaced. The retention of a relatively small number of U.S. troops in that country would not have measurably affected. . . Read more

Date: 1/20/2012

This week the Lexington Institute released a study I wrote detailing how the performance of industrial functions by military depots, arsenals, shipyards and logistics centers may be detrimental to. . . Read more

Date: 1/20/2012

In his latest masterpiece, Civilization, historian Niall Ferguson attributes the success of the West (by which he means Western Europe and its overseas offspring) to six "killer apps.” Ferguson. . . Read more

Date: 1/19/2012

Big weapons systems attract controversy, and the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter is no exception. Critics complain about many aspects of the program, but in the political arena all these particulars boil. . . Read more

Date: 1/19/2012

National security isn't just about military capabilities. It's also about having a strong economy that can sustain those capabilities. Regrettably, the U.S. share of world production and trade has. . . Read more

Date: 1/18/2012

The past ten years have seen an explosion in aerial intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR) support of military operations. The skies over Iraq and Afghanistan became crowded with both. . . Read more

Date: 1/18/2012

The Department of Defense is facing the prospect of massive spending cuts beginning next January as a result of the Budget Control Act. The law mandates automatic cuts to military spending beyond. . . Read more

Date: 1/17/2012

Seventy years ago almost to the day the first American military personnel, liaison officers and strategic planners arrived. . . Read more

Date: 1/13/2012

Bloomberg News yesterday released a thoughtful analysis of how Persian Gulf developments are impacting global petroleum trade that puts U.S. security operations there in a new light. Reporters Indira. . . Read more

Date: 1/13/2012

When wars end, weapons programs get cut. Sometimes the cuts are straightforward, and sometimes they are more subtle. The Clinton Administration's approach to national-security space programs --. . . Read more

Date: 1/12/2012

The Obama Administration’s new defense strategy envisions the reshaping of the U.S. military to reflect changing geostrategic challenges, emerging threats and new technologies. It will not be enough. . . Read more

Date: 1/12/2012

Reuters reported on January 10 that Textron, Inc. has initiated a review of strategic options that might result in the sale or spinoff of its defense businesses. While management clearly would like. . . Read more

Date: 1/11/2012

There are only three times when most general-election voters pay close attention in a presidential race, and one of those times is right around the corner for former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney.. . . Read more

Date: 1/11/2012
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